Monday, July 22, 2013

Maybe the Blue Jays Are Overrated

By
There are many words people would use to describe the 2013 incarnation of the Toronto Blue Jays. Now the word "overrated" is at the top of the list.

It all stems from some rather frank comments made by Mark Buehrle over the weekend, following yet another frustrating loss by the Blue Jays. He didn't pull any punches when it came to expectations about this team:
"Maybe we're overrated, maybe we're not as good as we thought we were ... as a team, we're not playing good all around. With bases loaded we're not scoring, we're not pitching good, it's just one of those things that it seems like nothing is clicking for us."
It's harsh, but it's true. The Blue Jays are underperforming. This team is a big departure from the very same club that rattled off 11 straight wins in mid-June and got themselves within 3 games of the Wild Card. But it's been all downhill since then.

On June 24th, the Blue Jays came into Tampa Bay riding an 11 game win streak and were actually slightly ahead of the Rays in the standings. It was a tale of two completely different teams going in two completely different directions.

But since then, the Blue Jays have gone 7-16 while their counterparts the Tampa Bay Rays have gone 19-4. Not to mention, the Rays are now a game out of first place while the Blue Jays are 13 games back and in last place in the division.

Even look at the Los Angeles Dodgers ... who up until recently, were in the very same boat as the Blue Jays. L.A. was an underachieving team littered with huge contracts, and yet had very little to show for it in the win column. Now they've won seven straight and are 21-9 in their last 30 games.

It's incredibly frustrating because this Blue Jays team is arguably in much better shape roster-wise right now than they were during the win streak. The Blue Jays now have staples like Jose Reyes, Brett Lawrie and Melky Cabrera back in the lineup, and yet the team continues to underperform.

For those who have kept a close eye on the Blue Jays these past few years, it's a familiar story. Not unlike last season, injuries took their toll on the roster and the team found themselves playing catchup for most of 2012.

However, there is one big difference this year; this team was not supposed to fail. In fact, they were the odds-on favourites to win the World Series. The Blue Jays were not supposed to underperform in 2013 ... they were supposed to lead the pack. 

It pains me to say this, but Mark Buehrle was right. In that aspect, the Blue Jays are overrated.

This roster certainly has the talent to be a contender, and yet here they are in last place in the American League East. Somewhere along the way, something has gone horribly wrong.

Most of these struggles have very little to do with the manager John Gibbons ... but if the Blue Jays continue on this path, I feel like his job could be in jeopardy going forward. Maybe not this year, but he could be the sacrificial lamb if the team keeps underperforming.

A lot would have to go wrong for John Gibbons to get the boot. By no means do I think he's responsible for this mess, but as we all know, the manager is often the first one to go when a team fails to live up to expectations.

After losing three relatively close games to the Tampa Bay Rays, one would think that the lack of offense is the problem here. The Blue Jays did strand a roster's worth of runners in the three game series, but it's the starting pitching that's plagued the Blue Jays all season long.

For a team that's paying its starting rotation a total of approximately $41.45 million dollars this season, the Blue Jays certainly aren't getting their money's worth. And to think, that total will jump to $43.2 next year ... and that's only for four starters (Buehrle, Dickey, Morrow, Happ).

Throw in the $7.5 million owed to Ricky Romero next season, and the total salary of the 2014 starting rotation will easily exceed $50 million dollars ... which is just a little more than the Houston Astros' and Miami Marlins' 2013 payrolls combined.

The problem is the Blue Jays are paying for premium talent for their starting rotation and they're receiving league-average results. In fact, they might actually be getting below league-average results out of their starting rotation.

Most were expecting this would be a championship calibre starting rotation, and instead it's been quite the opposite. What was thought to have been a strong suit for the Blue Jays is actually their most glaring weakness.

It's unfortunate, but anything less than a playoff berth this season would be viewed as a disappointment for the Toronto Blue Jays. As they sit 45-52 and 13.5 games back with 65 games left to play, that seems less and less likely.

If the Blue Jays fail to make the playoffs in 2013, all will not be lost. Most of this cast will be around next year as well. At least on the surface, this roster doesn't need a major overhaul in order to transform it back into a contender.

All the Blue Jays need is those high-paid players to perform to their ability. It sounds so simple, and yet it's the very same struggle every other team in Major League Baseball goes through every single year.

The difference is the Blue Jays were built to win. They were constructed to contend. And when they don't, pure and simple, that's the definition of being overrated.

8 comments:

  1. If they fire Gibby I will except no other manager replacement then Dave Martinez(Rays)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Very Frustrating. They are just bad. Wasn't expecting this.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Good read. And agree on the main problem: The starting rotation has been terrible. Some awful luck on situational hitting hasn't helped either.

    I have a worry that the offense might actually regress. Bautista and EE have been great, and despite the 2B/3B/LF problems, Lind and Rasmus are doing better than we expected. Even if Izturis/Lawrie/Cabrera are better in the second half (and we've seen signs of life from Izturis), can we count on Lind and Rasmus continuing to be very good? Or that EE and Bautista will continue their paces?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That's another legitimate fear as well .. who's to say Bautista, Encarnacion and the rest of the lineup can keep this up next year as well, right? Somebody else is going to have to pick up the slack going forward if that's the case.

      Delete
  4. Mat Duheme, Kev Langdon, Hunter Slawek, Eric Taschner: We love the Jays regardless of their performance, we believe they'll turn it around soon!

    ReplyDelete
  5. I feel like we're still several pieces from being a contender. The obvious area that needs improvement the most is starting pitching, but there is some light to be found in this organization. Morrow and Happ will be returning, as will Hutchison who looked promising last season. Maybe Cecil could make another stab at being a starter? Rogers will probably return to the bullpen, but I think that kid has talent. My point is, we might not need have to completely rebuilt the team in this regard.

    I think we could use a more mature catcher, by which I mean a catcher who doesn't attack the media on twitter, and who knows how to block the plate. I don't know if Thole is the guy, but it sure isn't Arencibia.

    I think the team should decide what to do with Lawrie. If he's to stay at second, we then need to find a legitimate third baseman.

    I think Cabrera should be gone next season. He just didn't work out, so maybe bring up Kevin Pillar who is playing well in the minors and seems to have a positive reputation for being a good guy to have in the clubhouse.

    As bad as the team is doing, though, people are going to the games. They're buying the merchandise. So the money is there. If they can go out and sign a free agent or make a trade that can improve the team they should do it. We have most of the pieces already here. We just need those extra pieces and look to next season.

    ReplyDelete
  6. I believe the Jays as a whole are having to much fun when they are losing game after game. The manager is not doing enough to spark this team. He is too nice and needs to sit people who make terrible plays. Great managers make struggling teams better. Nice managers end up last and that means out of work. Change needs to happen now to help with next years results as this year is dead. Rogers watch attendance drop from here to the end of the season if the Jays continue to stink up the joint.

    ReplyDelete

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...